Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.678242 9.709625 10.878635 12.315750 14.054622 16.116913 18.788725
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.971614 8.255977 9.846961 12.013616 14.973761 19.019700 25.254169
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.076297 7.461132 9.279322 11.936979 15.907898 21.984265 32.891154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.468336 6.896389 8.855095 11.880934 16.746323 24.963236 42.028355
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.118555 6.612497 8.745210 12.216793 18.218589 29.458493 57.067121
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.638858 6.081063 8.191209 11.741398 18.177065 31.118115 67.174585
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.242545 5.627383 7.694482 11.268535 18.013342 32.454302 77.797917
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.949073 5.297302 7.348804 10.991884 18.149366 34.506019 93.215651
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.737064 5.070557 7.140019 10.918728 18.668821 37.710361 118.090815
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.705146 5.115399 7.371215 11.674048 21.136021 47.459684 200.524286
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.615748 5.060196 7.426552 12.102394 23.003605 56.912086 336.706611
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.464348 4.892563 7.270337 12.084048 23.780262 63.329575 512.011246
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.291202 4.689370 7.054200 11.958609 24.387997 70.349970 865.819385
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.102300 4.449924 6.756839 11.630911 24.400170 75.239132 1451.137991
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.965855 4.288845 6.586983 11.555041 25.125952 84.705649 3833.788461
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.845366 4.146236 6.437586 11.501430 25.915863 96.004048 24528.370423
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.779674 4.092791 6.450040 11.821333 28.037281 120.302646 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.632668 3.888306 6.155172 11.368437 27.395701 123.411790 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.497105 3.697275 5.873953 10.917534 26.655980 125.133603 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.391710 3.554424 5.677700 10.653530 26.537211 132.965303 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.314150 3.457158 5.564722 10.583694 27.138515 150.192169 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.319020 3.507627 5.750505 11.304242 31.193534 229.145907 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.291812 3.497769 5.812175 11.712386 34.240232 327.100029 NaN